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Friday, 05/16/2025 8:00 PM (ET) 
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - New York leads series 3 games to 2.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 BOS
 Boston (2)
50967-25208.5209.5+120105.5
 NYK
 New York (3)
51058-35-2.5-2.5-140-1.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 BOS Boston124-7 BOS (+9.5)
 NYK New York115-2.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 BOS Boston108BOS (+4.5)Ov (+5.6)54BOS (+2.5)Ov (+2.1)39-8744.9%16-4534.6%14-1880.2%531413
 NYK New York107 53 40-8845.7%12-3336.2%14-1976.4%531411

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston covered the spread 597 times, while New York covered the spread 403 times.
Edge against the spread=Boston.
In 1000 simulated games, 617 games went over the total, while 383 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston won the game straight up 520 times, while New York won 452 times.
Edge on the money line=Boston.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston covered the first half line 567 times, while New York covered the first half line 433 times.
Edge against the first half line=Boston.
In 1000 simulated games, 567 games went over the first half total, while 433 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 506 times, and failed to cover 494 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Boston covered the 4 point teaser line 698 times, and failed to cover 302 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 695 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 305 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 454 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 546 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the total in Boston away or neutral games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game.
The Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average over/under of 222.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 110.9, Opponents 102.5.
Bet under the total in Boston games when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
The Under's record since the 2024 season: 25-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 219.1. (+22.8 unit$, ROI=76.8%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 105.4, Opponents 99.3.
Bet under the 1st half total in Boston games when they score 103 to 108 points in a game.
The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 109.5. (+10.9 unit$, ROI=76.2%)
The average score of these games was Celtics 52.4, Opponents 49.2.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.