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| Thursday, 04/17/2025 9:37 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 CGY | 13 | 41-27-14, 96 pts. | VLADAR | +130 | 5.5o-10 | +150 | 5.5o-20 |
 LAK | 14 | 48-27-7, 103 pts. | KUEMPER | -150 | 5.5u-10 | -170 | 5.5e-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| CGY | 3.61 | VLADAR | +150 | 40.0% | +137 | 42.2% | CGY (+2.2%) |
| LAK | 4.36 | KUEMPER | -170 | 63.0% | -137 | 57.8% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| CGY | VLADAR | 1.13 | +150 | 40.0% | +435 | 18.7% | 5.5o-20 | 3.9 | 29 | 4-1 | 2 | ||
| LAK | KUEMPER | 2.77 | -170 | 63.0% | -435 | 81.3% | LAK (+18.3%) | 5.5e-10 | 3.9 | UN (+1.6) | 32 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Los Angeles | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Calgary on the money line when they score 1 or less goals. Calgary record during the 2025 season: 1-15 (6%) with an average money line of +141. (-14.6 unit$, ROI=-91.3%) The average score of these games was Flames 0.8, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet against Calgary on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Calgary record during the 2025 season: 5-31 (14%) with an average money line of +138. (-26.0 unit$, ROI=-72.2%) The average score of these games was Flames 1.4, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 1 or less goals. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 28-2 (93%) with an average money line of -161. (+26.2 unit$, ROI=54.3%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.3, Opponents 0.8. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 38-6 (86%) with an average money line of -160. (+29.8 unit$, ROI=42.3%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Calgary games when they score 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 15-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-104. (+15.7 unit$, ROI=94.3%) The average score of these games was Flames 0.8, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Calgary games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-7 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-105. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=51.5%) The average score of these games was Flames 1.4, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-4 (86%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-118. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=57.4%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.3, Opponents 0.8. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they score 3 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-112. (+10.3 unit$, ROI=76.2%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.0, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 32-11 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-116. (+19.2 unit$, ROI=37.8%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.