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Tuesday, 04/22/2025 11:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Vegas leads series 1 games to 0. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 51 | 45-31-7, 97 pts. | GUSTAVSSON | +200 | 5.5o-10 | +190 | 5.5o-10 |
![]() | 52 | 51-22-10, 112 pts. | HILL | -240 | 5.5u-10 | -230 | 5.5u-10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 2.74 | GUSTAVSSON | +190 | 34.5% | +191 | 34.3% | |
![]() | 4.05 | HILL | -230 | 69.7% | -191 | 65.7% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | GUSTAVSSON | 1.34 | +190 | 34.5% | +271 | 27.0% | 5.5o-10 | 3.8 | 26 | 2-1 | 2 | ||
![]() | HILL | 2.47 | -230 | 69.7% | -271 | 73.0% | LVG (+3.3%) | 5.5u-10 | 3.8 | UN (+1.7) | 34 | 3-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Minnesota | |
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![]() | Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 33-4 (89%) with an average money line of -133. (+33.8 unit$, ROI=68.5%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.1, Opponents 1.3. |
![]() | Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-19 (14%) with an average money line of -145. (-25.0 unit$, ROI=-78.4%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-10 (17%) with an average money line of -145. (-12.1 unit$, ROI=-69.5%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.3. |
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Trends Favoring Vegas | |
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![]() | Bet against Minnesota on the money line when they score 1 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 2-23 (8%) with an average money line of +105. (-24.4 unit$, ROI=-97.6%) The average score of these games was Wild 0.8, Opponents 3.7. |
![]() | Bet against Minnesota on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 5-32 (14%) with an average money line of +114. (-30.0 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average score of these games was Wild 1.2, Opponents 3.6. |
![]() | Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 1 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 21-0 (100%) with an average money line of -189. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=53.5%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 0.7. |
![]() | Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 38-4 (90%) with an average money line of -170. (+32.7 unit$, ROI=45.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-4 (88%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+26.3 unit$, ROI=64.3%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.1, Opponents 1.3. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they score 1 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2023 season: 43-10 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-113. (+32.3 unit$, ROI=52.1%) The average score of these games was Wild 0.7, Opponents 3.5. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 13-3 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-109. (+10.1 unit$, ROI=51.3%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.0, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-111. (+14.9 unit$, ROI=61.0%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.3, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 1 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-3 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-107. (+15.8 unit$, ROI=70.4%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 0.7. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-107. (+25.8 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.