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Sunday, 04/27/2025 1:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Winnipeg leads series 2 games to 1. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 9 | 58-23-4, 120 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | -130 | 5.5o+20 | -140 | 5.5o+25 |
![]() | 10 | 45-32-8, 98 pts. | BINNINGTON | +110 | 5.5u-40 | +120 | 5.5u-45 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 4.03 | HELLEBUYCK | -140 | 58.3% | +104 | 49.0% | |
![]() | 4.11 | BINNINGTON | +120 | 45.5% | -104 | 51.0% | STL (+5.5%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 1.76 | -140 | 58.3% | +165 | 37.8% | 5.5o+25 | 4.2 | 25 | 3-0 | 3 | ||
![]() | BINNINGTON | 2.39 | +120 | 45.5% | -165 | 62.2% | STL (+16.8%) | 5.5u-45 | 4.2 | UN (+1.3) | 27 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 44-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+40.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet against Saint Louis on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 5-29 (15%) with an average money line of +131. (-25.4 unit$, ROI=-74.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
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Trends Favoring Saint Louis | |
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![]() | Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-7 (0%) with an average money line of -132. (-10.1 unit$, ROI=-108.6%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.7. |
![]() | Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-23 (26%) with an average money line of -159. (-24.0 unit$, ROI=-48.5%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.1. |
![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 34-7 (83%) with an average money line of +101. (+33.8 unit$, ROI=82.3%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Saint Louis record since the 2023 season: 40-11 (78%) with an average money line of +109. (+38.4 unit$, ROI=75.2%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.8, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-6 (81%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+19.3 unit$, ROI=56.8%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.1. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-11 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+21.2 unit$, ROI=40.8%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-111. (+18.8 unit$, ROI=49.5%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-10 (75%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-114. (+19.1 unit$, ROI=40.9%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.