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Saturday, 05/10/2025 9:00 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Edmonton leads series 2 games to 0. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 69 | 54-25-11, 119 pts. | HILL | +100 | 6.5o-25 | -105 | 6.5o-30 |
![]() | 70 | 54-31-5, 113 pts. | SKINNER | -120 | 6.5u+05 | -115 | 6.5u+10 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.48 | HILL | -105 | 51.2% | +140 | 41.6% | |
![]() | 4.25 | SKINNER | -115 | 53.5% | -140 | 58.4% | EDM (+4.9%) |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | HILL | 1.90 | -105 | 51.2% | +181 | 35.6% | 6.5o-30 | 4.6 | 29 | 3-1 | 3 | ||
![]() | SKINNER | 2.74 | -115 | 53.5% | -181 | 64.4% | EDM (+10.9%) | 6.5u+10 | 4.6 | UN (+1.9) | 33 | 3-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Edmonton | |
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![]() | Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-22 (12%) with an average money line of -147. (-29.9 unit$, ROI=-81.3%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of -148. (-17.0 unit$, ROI=-76.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.5. |
![]() | Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 37-1 (97%) with an average money line of -186. (+36.8 unit$, ROI=51.9%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 21-0 (100%) with an average money line of -219. (+21.5 unit$, ROI=46.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 19-5 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-109. (+13.9 unit$, ROI=50.6%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 31-5 (86%) with an average over/under of 6.3, money line=-106. (+26.5 unit$, ROI=65.6%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.6, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 17-3 (85%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-102. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=67.9%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.