More NHL Games |
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| Sunday, 05/11/2025 4:30 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied 1 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 WPG | 71 | 61-26-4, 126 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | +125 | 5.5o-10 | +125 | 5.5o-05 |
 DAL | 72 | 55-30-6, 116 pts. | OETTINGER | -145 | 5.5u-10 | -145 | 5.5u-15 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| WPG | 3.97 | HELLEBUYCK | +125 | 44.4% | -143 | 58.9% | WPG (+14.5%) |
| DAL | 3.16 | OETTINGER | -145 | 59.2% | +-143 | 41.1% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| WPG | HELLEBUYCK | 2.49 | +125 | 44.4% | -193 | 65.8% | WPG (+21.4%) | 5.5o-05 | 4.2 | 35 | 4-1 | 5 | |
| DAL | OETTINGER | 1.67 | -145 | 59.2% | +193 | 34.2% | 5.5u-15 | 4.2 | UN (+1.3) | 28 | 4-1 | 3 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 45-3 (94%) with an average money line of -166. (+41.9 unit$, ROI=52.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
| Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 7-23 (23%) with an average money line of -157. (-29.9 unit$, ROI=-63.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
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| Trends Favoring Dallas | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Winnipeg in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 0-8 (0%) with an average money line of -130. (-11.2 unit$, ROI=-107.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 2.0, Opponents 4.8. |
| Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 8-26 (24%) with an average money line of -156. (-27.6 unit$, ROI=-52.0%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet on Dallas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 41-2 (95%) with an average money line of -186. (+38.5 unit$, ROI=48.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 34-11 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+22.2 unit$, ROI=42.0%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.1. |
| Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 26-8 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-111. (+17.6 unit$, ROI=46.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-2 (93%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+26.3 unit$, ROI=80.2%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 16-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=73.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-10 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+17.4 unit$, ROI=37.0%) The average score of these games was Stars 3.7, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.