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| Sunday, 05/11/2025 7:30 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - Toronto leads series 2 games to 1. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 TOR | 73 | 58-27-6, 122 pts. | WOLL | +175 | 6o-15 | +160 | 6o-15 |
 FLA | 74 | 52-34-4, 108 pts. | BOBROVSKY | -210 | 6u-05 | -180 | 6u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| TOR | 4.16 | WOLL | +160 | 38.5% | -114 | 53.2% | TOR (+14.7%) |
| FLA | 3.83 | BOBROVSKY | -180 | 64.3% | +-114 | 46.8% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| TOR | WOLL | 2.43 | +160 | 38.5% | -139 | 58.2% | TOR (+19.7%) | 6o-15 | 4.4 | 25 | 4-1 | 4 | |
| FLA | BOBROVSKY | 1.99 | -180 | 64.3% | +139 | 41.8% | 6u-05 | 4.4 | UN (+1.6) | 33 | 3-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Toronto | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 36-4 (90%) with an average money line of -162. (+32.2 unit$, ROI=49.6%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 20-3 (87%) with an average money line of -165. (+16.8 unit$, ROI=44.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Florida on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 7-28 (20%) with an average money line of -163. (-38.2 unit$, ROI=-66.8%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
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| Trends Favoring Florida | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Toronto on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 4-26 (13%) with an average money line of -144. (-35.5 unit$, ROI=-82.1%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Florida on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Florida record during the 2025 season: 36-3 (92%) with an average money line of -191. (+32.3 unit$, ROI=43.4%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 32-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-113. (+23.4 unit$, ROI=51.9%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet under the total in Toronto games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 43-11 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-108. (+31.6 unit$, ROI=50.2%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Florida games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-7 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=49.0%) The average score of these games was Panthers 1.3, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in Florida games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+19.6 unit$, ROI=45.7%) The average score of these games was Panthers 3.5, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.