More NHL Games |
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| Wednesday, 05/21/2025 8:00 PM | |||||||
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| NHL Playoffs - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 EDM | 51 | 56-32-5, 117 pts. | SKINNER | +100 | 6o-15 | +105 | 6o-15 |
 DAL | 52 | 58-31-6, 122 pts. | OETTINGER | -120 | 6u-05 | -125 | 6u-05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| EDM | 4.32 | SKINNER | +105 | 48.8% | -141 | 58.4% | EDM (+9.7%) |
| DAL | 3.49 | OETTINGER | -125 | 55.6% | +-141 | 41.6% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| EDM | SKINNER | 2.71 | +105 | 48.8% | -117 | 53.9% | EDM (+5.2%) | 6o-15 | 5.2 | 38 | 4-1 | 5 | |
| DAL | OETTINGER | 2.47 | -125 | 55.6% | +117 | 46.1% | 6u-05 | 5.2 | UN (+0.8) | 28 | 4-1 | 5 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Edmonton | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 39-1 (98%) with an average money line of -183. (+38.8 unit$, ROI=53.2%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet on Edmonton on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 21-0 (100%) with an average money line of -219. (+21.5 unit$, ROI=46.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 8-24 (25%) with an average money line of -154. (-29.9 unit$, ROI=-60.4%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-5 (87%) with an average over/under of 6.3, money line=-106. (+28.6 unit$, ROI=67.7%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they allow 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 17-3 (85%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-102. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=67.9%) The average score of these games was Oilers 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-2 (94%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-110. (+28.3 unit$, ROI=80.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.5, Opponents 2.9. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 17-2 (89%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+15.3 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.