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| Sunday, 05/18/2025 6:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 MIN | 615 | 38-15 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -220 | -3 |
 LAS | 616 | 8-32 | 161.5 | 161.5 | +180 | 82 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| MIN | 87 | -7 | -5.5 | MIN (+1.5) |
| LAS | 78 | |||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| MIN | 85 | MIN (+2.5) | 42 | MIN (+1) | 32-67 | 47.5% | 8-23 | 36.2% | 12-15 | 82.9% | 43 | 7 | 14 | ||
| LAS | 76 | Un (+0.7) | 38 | Un (+1.2) | 28-68 | 41.3% | 7-23 | 31.9% | 13-17 | 77.6% | 41 | 8 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the spread 585 times, while Los Angeles covered the spread 415 times. Edge against the spread=Minnesota. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 518 games went under the total, while 482 games went over the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota won the game straight up 718 times, while Los Angeles won 261 times. Edge on the money line=Minnesota. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the first half line 529 times, while Los Angeles covered the first half line 436 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 529 games went under the first half total, while 433 games went over the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 540 times, and failed to cover 460 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Minnesota covered the 4 point teaser line 694 times, and failed to cover 306 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 585 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 415 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 653 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 347 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Los Angeles in road games when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 0-7 (0%) ATS with an average line of +3.5. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sparks 73.9, Opponents 84.1. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 10-2 (83%) with an average money line of -185. (+11.2 unit$, ROI=50.2%) The average score of these games was Lynx 83.9, Opponents 73.3. |
| Bet on Minnesota in road games on the money line when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game. Minnesota record since the 2023 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average money line of +140. (+16.0 unit$, ROI=123.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 80.3, Opponents 78.9. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 24-7 (77%) with an average money line of -192. (+19.1 unit$, ROI=32.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 82.2, Opponents 74.4. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2023 season: 4-18 (18%) with an average money line of +168. (-20.0 unit$, ROI=-90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 74.6, Opponents 81.1. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Minnesota road games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 44.9, Opponents 44.1. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.