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| Thursday, 07/03/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 PHO | 607 | 12-6 | -5 | -11.5 | -750 | -6.5 |
 DAL | 608 | 6-13 | 163.5 | 164.5 | +500 | 83 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| PHO | 81 | -1 | -11.5 | |
| DAL | 78 | DAL (+10.5) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| PHO | 87 | Ov (+4.8) | 43 | Ov (+1.8) | 31-68 | 44.8% | 11-30 | 36.3% | 14-18 | 78.5% | 41 | 8 | 13 | ||
| DAL | 83 | DAL (+7.5) | 42 | DAL (+4.5) | 30-70 | 43.2% | 6-20 | 32.0% | 16-20 | 81.6% | 46 | 11 | 14 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the spread 701 times, while Phoenix covered the spread 299 times. Edge against the spread=Dallas. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 614 games went over the total, while 386 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix won the game straight up 596 times, while Dallas won 383 times. Edge on the money line=Dallas. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the first half line 669 times, while Phoenix covered the first half line 331 times. Edge against the first half line=Dallas. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 536 games went over the first half total, while 427 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 781 times, and failed to cover 219 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Phoenix covered the 4 point teaser line 401 times, and failed to cover 599 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 725 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 275 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 472 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 528 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Dallas in away games when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of -0.3. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Wings 84.3, Opponents 94.5. |
| Bet on Phoenix on the money line in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 6-1 (86%) with an average money line of +125. (+10.5 unit$, ROI=149.3%) The average score of these games was Mercury 82.3, Opponents 76.3. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-15 (12%) with an average money line of +171. (-17.1 unit$, ROI=-100.6%) The average score of these games was Wings 80.8, Opponents 90.1. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 4-31 (11%) with an average money line of +215. (-31.1 unit$, ROI=-88.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 81.7, Opponents 90.8. |
| Bet against Dallas in away games on the 1st half line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) with an average 1st half line of 0.0. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Wings 41.2, Opponents 48.8. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 14-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 166.6. (+14.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 84.7, Opponents 91.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 12-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+10.9 unit$, ROI=70.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.9, Opponents 47.7. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.