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| Thursday, 07/03/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 PHO | 607 | 12-6 | -5 | -11.5 | -750 | -6.5 |
 DAL | 608 | 6-13 | 163.5 | 164.5 | +500 | 83 |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Phoenix - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 9-8 | 11-7 | 12-6 | +2.8 | 83.9 | 42.4 | 43.1% | 41 | 80.3 | 40.9 | 43.1% | 42 |
| Road Games | 4-4 | 5-3 | 5-3 | -0.8 | 83.0 | 43.6 | 41.9% | 41 | 81.9 | 44.1 | 44.3% | 41 |
| vs. Western Conference | 6-6 | 6-6 | 6-6 | -6.2 | 80.3 | 40.5 | 42.6% | 41 | 80.2 | 42.5 | 42.6% | 42 |
| Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 4-1 | 3-2 | -2.6 | 94.4 | 48.6 | 45.2% | 41 | 88.0 | 45.0 | 47.4% | 38 |
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| Dallas - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 9-10 | 10-9 | 6-13 | -0.3 | 82.4 | 42.0 | 41.9% | 45 | 85.1 | 42.6 | 44.3% | 42 |
| Home Games | 4-6 | 4-6 | 4-6 | +4.8 | 79.3 | 42.8 | 40.8% | 45 | 82.6 | 43.4 | 43.3% | 42 |
| vs. Western Conference | 5-5 | 4-6 | 2-8 | -2 | 79.9 | 42.0 | 40.6% | 46 | 86.1 | 44.0 | 46.4% | 40 |
| Last 5 Games | 4-1 | 3-2 | 3-2 | +8.3 | 83.8 | 45.0 | 42.4% | 45 | 80.0 | 39.8 | 40.5% | 41 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Phoenix - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 05/30/2025 |  MIN | 71-74 | L | +4 | W | 158 | U | 28-71 | 39.4% | 46 | 14 | 25-69 | 36.2% | 45 | 15 |
| 06/01/2025 |  @LAS | 85-80 | W | +4.5 | W | 164.5 | O | 26-64 | 40.6% | 44 | 12 | 26-71 | 36.6% | 47 | 13 |
| 06/03/2025 | @MIN | 65-88 | L | +12.5 | L | 159 | U | 28-73 | 38.4% | 27 | 10 | 34-58 | 58.6% | 44 | 23 |
| 06/05/2025 |  GS | 86-77 | W | -6 | W | 156.5 | O | 30-65 | 46.2% | 46 | 17 | 25-60 | 41.7% | 36 | 19 |
| 06/07/2025 |  SEA | 77-89 | L | +5.5 | L | 155.5 | O | 29-66 | 43.9% | 40 | 14 | 32-66 | 48.5% | 37 | 11 |
| 06/11/2025 | DAL | 93-80 | W | -7 | W | 167 | O | 35-70 | 50.0% | 37 | 10 | 29-67 | 43.3% | 45 | 14 |
| 06/15/2025 |  @LVA | 76-70 | W | -4.5 | W | 164.5 | U | 28-73 | 38.4% | 42 | 12 | 23-64 | 35.9% | 46 | 19 |
| 06/18/2025 |  @CON | 83-75 | W | -14.5 | L | 157 | O | 26-64 | 40.6% | 46 | 12 | 25-68 | 36.8% | 45 | 13 |
| 06/19/2025 |  @NYL | 89-81 | W | +11.5 | W | 164 | O | 30-72 | 41.7% | 48 | 13 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 38 | 19 |
| 06/21/2025 |  @CHI | 107-86 | W | -11 | W | 160 | O | 35-68 | 51.5% | 39 | 19 | 30-57 | 52.6% | 27 | 20 |
| 06/27/2025 | NYL | 106-91 | W | -1.5 | W | 168 | O | 41-78 | 52.6% | 39 | 12 | 33-65 | 50.8% | 37 | 12 |
| 06/29/2025 | LVA | 81-84 | L | -5 | L | 168.5 | U | 27-71 | 38.0% | 43 | 11 | 26-60 | 43.3% | 42 | 12 |
| 07/03/2025 | @DAL | 89-98 | L | -11.5 | L | 164.5 | O | 28-67 | 41.8% | 38 | 10 | 32-67 | 47.8% | 47 | 15 |
| 07/07/2025 | DAL | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/09/2025 | MIN | 3:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/14/2025 | @GS | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/16/2025 | @MIN | 1:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Dallas - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 05/31/2025 | CHI | 83-94 | L | -2.5 | L | 172.5 | O | 27-67 | 40.3% | 42 | 14 | 30-73 | 41.1% | 55 | 15 |
| 06/03/2025 | @SEA | 77-83 | L | +10.5 | W | 165.5 | U | 30-86 | 34.9% | 62 | 14 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 38 | 16 |
| 06/06/2025 | LAS | 79-93 | L | +2 | L | 173.5 | U | 31-73 | 42.5% | 39 | 15 | 35-63 | 55.6% | 36 | 14 |
| 06/08/2025 | MIN | 65-81 | L | +13 | L | 166.5 | U | 19-65 | 29.2% | 51 | 15 | 29-67 | 43.3% | 41 | 6 |
| 06/11/2025 | @PHO | 80-93 | L | +7 | L | 167 | O | 29-67 | 43.3% | 45 | 14 | 35-70 | 50.0% | 37 | 10 |
| 06/13/2025 | @LVA | 84-88 | L | +5.5 | W | 170.5 | O | 33-70 | 47.1% | 37 | 15 | 26-62 | 41.9% | 39 | 18 |
| 06/17/2025 | GS | 80-71 | W | -3 | W | 164.5 | U | 29-74 | 39.2% | 51 | 11 | 24-59 | 40.7% | 40 | 16 |
| 06/20/2025 | @CON | 86-83 | W | -3.5 | L | 164.5 | O | 29-67 | 43.3% | 54 | 17 | 27-64 | 42.2% | 32 | 12 |
| 06/22/2025 |  @WAS | 88-91 | L | +4.5 | W | 167 | O | 27-72 | 37.5% | 51 | 17 | 28-62 | 45.2% | 47 | 16 |
| 06/24/2025 |  ATL | 68-55 | W | +9 | W | 169 | U | 25-66 | 37.9% | 53 | 8 | 15-64 | 23.4% | 46 | 9 |
| 06/27/2025 |  IND | 86-94 | L | +2 | L | 166 | O | 29-68 | 42.6% | 30 | 8 | 35-59 | 59.3% | 40 | 11 |
| 06/28/2025 | WAS | 79-71 | W | +6 | W | 160.5 | U | 29-62 | 46.8% | 46 | 19 | 22-64 | 34.4% | 33 | 13 |
| 07/03/2025 | PHO | 98-89 | W | +11.5 | W | 164.5 | O | 32-67 | 47.8% | 47 | 15 | 28-67 | 41.8% | 38 | 10 |
| 07/07/2025 | @PHO | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/09/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/13/2025 | @IND | 1:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/16/2025 | LVA | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Phoenix in away games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 19-6 (76%) ATS with an average line of +1.8. (+12.4 unit$, ROI=45.1%). The average score of these games was Mercury 86.3, Opponents 86.2. |
| Bet on Phoenix in away games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of -4.2. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 91.2, Opponents 82.5. |
| Bet on Phoenix versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of -4.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 92.5, Opponents 79.2. |
| Bet against Dallas versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 10-29 (26%) ATS with an average line of +4.6. (-21.9 unit$, ROI=-51.0%). The average score of these games was Wings 83.5, Opponents 91.4. |
| Bet against Dallas versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 12-32 (27%) ATS with an average line of +4.7. (-23.2 unit$, ROI=-47.9%). The average score of these games was Wings 83.0, Opponents 91.2. |
 | Bet on Phoenix on the money line in all games where where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points. Phoenix record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of -187. (+10.6 unit$, ROI=63.1%) The average score of these games was Mercury 88.2, Opponents 80.0. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 6-24 (20%) with an average money line of +228. (-20.1 unit$, ROI=-67.0%) The average score of these games was Wings 81.8, Opponents 89.0. |
| Trends Favoring Dallas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Phoenix in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 0-10 (0%) ATS with an average line of +3.8. (-11.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Mercury 65.0, Opponents 81.2. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 3-13 (19%) ATS with an average line of +4.2. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%). The average score of these games was Mercury 75.1, Opponents 84.2. |
| Bet against Phoenix after playing a game as a home favorite. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) ATS with an average line of -0.1. (-12.3 unit$, ROI=-74.5%). The average score of these games was Mercury 74.4, Opponents 83.9. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Phoenix record since the 2023 season: 1-9 (10%) ATS with an average line of +3.4. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%). The average score of these games was Mercury 70.2, Opponents 81.5. |
| Bet against Phoenix in home games on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +141. (-13.6 unit$, ROI=-97.1%) The average score of these games was Mercury 75.1, Opponents 84.2. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the money line after playing a game as a home favorite. Phoenix record since the 2024 season: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of -121. (-17.5 unit$, ROI=-96.4%) The average score of these games was Mercury 74.4, Opponents 83.9. |
 | Bet against Phoenix in home games on the 1st half line after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Phoenix record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 0-8 (0%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 30.6, Opponents 42.6. |
| Bet against Phoenix on the 1st half line after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Phoenix record on the 1st half line since the 2023 season: 14-43 (25%) with an average 1st half line of +2.0. (-33.3 unit$, ROI=-51.3%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mercury 38.8, Opponents 45.2. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Phoenix games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 83+ points/game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 14-3 (82%) with an average over/under of 167.5. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 90.3, Opponents 85.8. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average over/under of 168.3. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 86.8, Opponents 86.5. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas away games off an upset win as an underdog. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 168.8. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 92.7, Opponents 90.8. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games off a home win. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 170.4. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Wings 86.4, Opponents 92.9. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games after 1 or more consecutive wins. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average over/under of 168.8. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=61.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 85.7, Opponents 90.8. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas away games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game after 15+ games. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 24-7 (77%) with an average over/under of 170.2. (+16.3 unit$, ROI=47.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 89.4, Opponents 89.6. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas away games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games. The Over's record since the 2023 season: 21-6 (78%) with an average over/under of 170.1. (+14.4 unit$, ROI=48.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 88.4, Opponents 88.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 19-5 (79%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+13.5 unit$, ROI=51.1%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.3, Opponents 46.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 14-3 (82%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Mercury 43.8, Opponents 44.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games off a loss against a division rival. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 11-1 (92%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%) The average score of these games was Mercury 39.1, Opponents 48.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 23-5 (82%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+17.5 unit$, ROI=56.8%) The average score of these games was Mercury 39.7, Opponents 47.6. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Phoenix away games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2023 season: 26-8 (76%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.5. (+17.2 unit$, ROI=46.0%) The average score of these games was Mercury 41.1, Opponents 45.7. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 22-7 (76%) with an average 1st half over/under of 85.5. (+14.3 unit$, ROI=43.3%) The average score of these games was Wings 42.4, Opponents 46.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 20-6 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+13.4 unit$, ROI=45.1%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.4, Opponents 47.6. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 20-6 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+13.4 unit$, ROI=45.1%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.4, Opponents 47.6. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus good passing teams, averaging >=17 assists/game after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 21-6 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+14.4 unit$, ROI=46.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.1, Opponents 47.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 21-6 (78%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+14.4 unit$, ROI=46.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.1, Opponents 47.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 21-5 (81%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+15.5 unit$, ROI=52.2%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.0, Opponents 48.4. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 20-5 (80%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.5. (+14.5 unit$, ROI=50.7%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.2, Opponents 48.3. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Dallas games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts after 15+ games. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 17-5 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.5. (+11.5 unit$, ROI=45.5%) The average score of these games was Wings 43.7, Opponents 47.7. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Phoenix. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts in road games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 19-6 (76%) with an average line of +1.8. (+12.4 unit$, ROI=45.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 86.3, Opponents 86.2 |
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts in road games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average line of -4.2. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 91.2, Opponents 82.5 |
| Bet on Nate Tibbetts versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 6-0 (100%) with an average line of -4.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 92.5, Opponents 79.2 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Dallas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 0-10 (0%) with an average line of +3.8. (-11.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 65.0, Opponents 81.2 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 3-13 (19%) with an average line of +4.2. (-11.3 unit$, ROI=-64.2%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.1, Opponents 84.2 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts after playing a game as a home favorite. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-13 (13%) with an average line of -0.1. (-12.3 unit$, ROI=-74.5%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.4, Opponents 83.9 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games on the money line after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +141. (-13.6 unit$, ROI=-97.1%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 75.1, Opponents 84.2 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts on the money line after playing a game as a home favorite. Tibbetts's record as coach of PHOENIX: 2-13 (13%) with an average money line of -121. (-17.5 unit$, ROI=-96.4%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 74.4, Opponents 83.9 |
| Bet against Nate Tibbetts in home games on the 1st half line after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. Tibbetts's record on the 1st half line as coach of PHOENIX: 0-8 (0%) with an average line of +2.0. (-8.8 unit$, ROI=-80.0%) The average 1st half score of these games was PHOENIX 30.6, Opponents 42.6 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Nate Tibbetts games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 83+ points/game. The Over's record as coach of PHOENIX: 14-3 (82%) with an average over/under of 167.5. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was PHOENIX 90.3, Opponents 85.8 |
| WNBA Game Simulation |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| PHO | 87 | Ov (+4.8) | 43 | Ov (+1.8) | 31-68 | 44.8% | 11-30 | 36.3% | 14-18 | 78.5% | 41 | 8 | 13 | ||
| DAL | 83 | DAL (+7.5) | 42 | DAL (+4.5) | 30-70 | 43.2% | 6-20 | 32.0% | 16-20 | 81.6% | 46 | 11 | 14 | ||
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| PHO | 81 | -1 | -11.5 | |
| DAL | 78 | DAL (+10.5) | ||