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| Friday, 07/11/2025 7:30 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 ATL | 613 | 12-7 | 166.5 | 167.5 | -105 | 84.5 |
 IND | 614 | 10-10 | -2.5 | -1 | -115 | -0.5 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| ATL | 86 | -2 | ATL (+3) | |
| IND | 82 | -1 | ||
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| ATL | 82 | ATL (+1) | 41 | ATL (+0.5) | 29-68 | 42.8% | 8-27 | 30.4% | 15-20 | 76.2% | 44 | 9 | 12 | ||
| IND | 83 | Un (+2.7) | 42 | Un (+1.5) | 31-68 | 45.6% | 8-24 | 34.2% | 13-17 | 75.7% | 42 | 7 | 13 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the spread 505 times, while Indiana covered the spread 471 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 564 games went under the total, while 436 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 495 times, while Atlanta won 484 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the first half line 514 times, while Indiana covered the first half line 486 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 569 games went under the first half total, while 431 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 572 times, and failed to cover 394 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 607 times, and failed to cover 368 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 547 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 453 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 679 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 321 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Atlanta. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Indiana on the money line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of -433. (-23.3 unit$, ROI=-89.8%) The average score of these games was Fever 80.8, Opponents 81.7. |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana in home games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) ATS with an average line of +0.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%). The average score of these games was Fever 89.2, Opponents 80.1. |
| Bet against Atlanta on the money line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of +148. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-114.2%) The average score of these games was Dream 78.3, Opponents 84.5. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana away games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=67.4%) The average score of these games was Fever 47.7, Opponents 40.9. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Atlanta games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. The 1st half Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 82.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Dream 39.0, Opponents 34.8. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.