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| Friday, 07/11/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 CON | 615 | 3-16 | 158.5 | 157 | 79.5 | |
 SEA | 616 | 12-8 | -17.5 | -18.5 | -10.5 | |
Matchup Content Menu |
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WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| CON | 71 | CON (+5.5) | ||
| SEA | 82 | -13 | -18.5 | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| CON | 73 | CON (+4.5) | Ov (+1.8) | 37 | CON (+3.5) | Ov (+0.5) | 27-66 | 40.9% | 6-20 | 30.8% | 13-15 | 81.8% | 40 | 8 | 15 |
| SEA | 86 | 43 | 33-68 | 47.8% | 8-22 | 34.8% | 13-17 | 77.9% | 44 | 8 | 12 | ||||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the spread 629 times, while Seattle covered the spread 371 times. Edge against the spread=Connecticut. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 529 games went over the total, while 444 games went under the total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Seattle won the game straight up 826 times, while Connecticut won 152 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the first half line 660 times, while Seattle covered the first half line 340 times. Edge against the first half line=Connecticut. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went over the first half total, while 489 games went under the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Seattle covered the 4 point teaser line 475 times, and failed to cover 525 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Connecticut covered the 4 point teaser line 721 times, and failed to cover 279 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 644 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 335 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 549 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 422 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Connecticut. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Seattle in away games on the money line when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game. Seattle record since the 2024 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -357. (-17.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average score of these games was Storm 79.8, Opponents 86.6. |
| Trends Favoring Seattle. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Connecticut in home games on the 1st half line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Connecticut record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average 1st half line of +1.5. (-10.0 unit$, ROI=-82.6%) The average 1st half score of these games was Sun 38.0, Opponents 45.5. |
| Bet against Connecticut on the 1st half line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Connecticut record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average 1st half line of +7.5. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%) The average 1st half score of these games was Sun 34.4, Opponents 49.9. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Connecticut away games when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 79.5. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Sun 40.5, Opponents 46.5. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Seattle away games in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%) The average score of these games was Storm 46.1, Opponents 40.5. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Seattle games when they allow 70 to 75 points in a game. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 11-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 162.4. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Storm 79.4, Opponents 71.9. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.