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Sunday, 07/13/2025 3:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 ATL
 Atlanta
62312-8167167+17584.5
 NYL
 New York
62413-6-3.5-5-210-2.5

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 ATL Atlanta84 ATL (+2)
 NYL New York85-3-5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 ATL Atlanta80 40 29-7042.1%9-2831.4%12-1775.2%44913
 NYL New York86NYL (+1)Un (+1.5)43NYL (+0.5)Un (+1.2)30-6744.5%10-2835.8%16-1982.8%43712

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the spread 493 times, while Atlanta covered the spread 479 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 517 games went under the total, while 458 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New York won the game straight up 628 times, while Atlanta won 342 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the first half line 525 times, while Atlanta covered the first half line 475 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 533 games went under the first half total, while 467 games went over the first half total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 603 times, and failed to cover 372 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Atlanta covered the 4 point teaser line 575 times, and failed to cover 401 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 558 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 418 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 632 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 349 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring New York.
Bet against Atlanta on the money line when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game.
Atlanta record since the 2024 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of +148. (-14.9 unit$, ROI=-114.2%)
The average score of these games was Dream 78.3, Opponents 84.5.
Bet against Atlanta in home games on the money line in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers.
Atlanta record during the 2025 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -275. (-15.6 unit$, ROI=-113.1%)
The average score of these games was Dream 76.8, Opponents 86.2.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in New York games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=67.0%)
The average score of these games was Liberty 45.8, Opponents 41.9.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.