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| Sunday, 07/13/2025 1:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 DAL | 621 | 6-15 | 172.5 | 173 | +325 | 87.5 |
 IND | 622 | 11-10 | -10.5 | -9 | -450 | -5 |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| DAL | 75 | |||
| IND | 84 | -11 | -9 | IND (+2) |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| DAL | 80 | 40 | 29-70 | 41.4% | 6-20 | 29.7% | 15-19 | 81.1% | 43 | 10 | 13 | ||||
| IND | 90 | IND (+2) | Un (+3.2) | 45 | Un (+1.8) | 32-68 | 47.4% | 9-25 | 37.0% | 16-21 | 77.1% | 44 | 8 | 13 | |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 535 times, while Dallas covered the spread 431 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 580 games went under the total, while 391 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 766 times, while Dallas won 210 times. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 498 times, while Dallas covered the first half line 471 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 576 games went under the first half total, while 424 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 645 times, and failed to cover 334 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Dallas covered the 4 point teaser line 553 times, and failed to cover 416 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 495 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 469 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 685 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 291 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Dallas. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Indiana on the money line when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of -433. (-23.3 unit$, ROI=-89.8%) The average score of these games was Fever 80.8, Opponents 81.7. |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana in home games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 11-1 (92%) ATS with an average line of +0.3. (+9.9 unit$, ROI=75.0%). The average score of these games was Fever 90.0, Opponents 80.3. |
| Bet against Dallas when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 8-28 (22%) ATS with an average line of +4.9. (-22.8 unit$, ROI=-57.6%). The average score of these games was Wings 86.7, Opponents 96.7. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-18 (5%) with an average money line of +259. (-18.3 unit$, ROI=-96.3%) The average score of these games was Wings 81.8, Opponents 91.6. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-16 (6%) with an average money line of +221. (-16.6 unit$, ROI=-97.6%) The average score of these games was Wings 83.9, Opponents 96.6. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-15 (12%) with an average money line of +171. (-17.1 unit$, ROI=-100.6%) The average score of these games was Wings 80.8, Opponents 90.1. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-12 (8%) with an average money line of +258. (-12.5 unit$, ROI=-96.2%) The average score of these games was Wings 80.5, Opponents 90.3. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line in up-tempo games where they attempt 69 or more shots. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-17 (11%) with an average money line of +229. (-16.6 unit$, ROI=-87.1%) The average score of these games was Wings 83.1, Opponents 91.6. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 1-10 (9%) with an average money line of +189. (-10.2 unit$, ROI=-92.3%) The average score of these games was Wings 82.4, Opponents 92.0. |
| Bet against Dallas in home games on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Dallas record since the 2024 season: 2-21 (9%) with an average money line of +239. (-21.0 unit$, ROI=-91.1%) The average score of these games was Wings 82.0, Opponents 92.0. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they allow 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average over/under of 167.1. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Wings 84.6, Opponents 94.0. |
| Bet over the total in Dallas games when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average over/under of 167.8. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Wings 88.5, Opponents 90.4. |
| Bet over the total in Indiana games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 21-4 (84%) with an average over/under of 170.2. (+16.6 unit$, ROI=60.4%) The average score of these games was Fever 94.0, Opponents 87.0. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana away games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=67.4%) The average score of these games was Fever 47.7, Opponents 40.9. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana away games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+11.8 unit$, ROI=63.1%) The average score of these games was Fever 47.5, Opponents 44.0. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 165.3. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Wings 75.2, Opponents 74.3. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.