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Sunday, 07/13/2025 6:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 WAS
 Washington
62710-10159.5159.5+20081
 SEA
 Seattle
62813-8-5.5-6-250-3

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 WAS Washington81 WAS (+3)
 SEA Seattle82-3-6

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 WAS Washington76WAS (+1) 38WAS (+1) 28-6443.4%6-1833.1%15-2075.4%44816
 SEA Seattle81Un (+2)41Un (+2)31-6944.5%7-2231.9%12-1678.1%40711

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the spread 506 times, while Seattle covered the spread 460 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 545 games went under the total, while 455 games went over the total.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Seattle won the game straight up 625 times, while Washington won 342 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the first half line 495 times, while Seattle covered the first half line 460 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 559 games went under the first half total, while 405 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, Seattle covered the 4 point teaser line 577 times, and failed to cover 401 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Washington covered the 4 point teaser line 618 times, and failed to cover 360 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 551 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 449 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 662 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 338 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Washington.
Bet against Seattle in away games when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game.
Seattle record since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of -8.9. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%).
The average score of these games was Storm 79.7, Opponents 83.0.
Bet against Seattle in away games on the money line when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game.
Seattle record since the 2024 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -357. (-17.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%)
The average score of these games was Storm 79.7, Opponents 83.0.
Trends Favoring Seattle.
Bet on Seattle on the money line in up-tempo games where they attempt 69 or more shots.
Seattle record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of -153. (+7.7 unit$, ROI=56.0%)
The average score of these games was Storm 86.2, Opponents 79.4.
Bet against Washington on the 1st half line in games where they attempt 62 to 68 shots.
Washington record on the 1st half line during the 2025 season: 1-8 (11%) with an average 1st half line of -1.0. (-7.8 unit$, ROI=-78.8%)
The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 35.9, Opponents 42.6.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in Seattle away games when they commit 3 to 6 fewer turnovers than their opponents.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 8-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.5. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Storm 46.3, Opponents 39.8.
Trends Favoring Under.
Bet under the 1st half total in Washington away games when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game.
The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 6-0 (100%) with an average 1st half over/under of 81.0. (+6.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%)
The average score of these games was Mystics 36.5, Opponents 36.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.