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| Tuesday, 08/05/2025 10:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 IND | 607 | 18-12 | -1 | -1.5 | -120 | -1 |
 LAS | 608 | 12-15 | 176 | 176 | +100 | 89 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| IND | 83 | -1 | -1.5 | |
| LAS | 80 | LAS (+0.5) | ||
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| IND | 87 | IND (+2.5) | 44 | IND (+1) | 33-70 | 47.0% | 9-26 | 34.9% | 13-16 | 79.9% | 41 | 8 | 13 | ||
| LAS | 84 | Un (+4.9) | 42 | Un (+2.9) | 30-65 | 45.9% | 8-24 | 33.7% | 16-22 | 73.8% | 41 | 7 | 15 | ||
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 546 times, while Los Angeles covered the spread 454 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 609 games went under the total, while 361 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 573 times, while Los Angeles won 401 times. Edge on the money line=Indiana. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 518 times, while Los Angeles covered the first half line 439 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 604 games went under the first half total, while 363 games went over the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Los Angeles covered the 4 point teaser line 577 times, and failed to cover 423 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 658 times, and failed to cover 342 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 458 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 509 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 717 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 259 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 9-1 (90%) ATS with an average line of -4.1. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%). The average score of these games was Fever 88.9, Opponents 74.7. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games when they allow 82 to 87 points in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 0-9 (0%) ATS with an average line of +1.1. (-9.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sparks 74.4, Opponents 84.0. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 0-7 (0%) ATS with an average line of +1.4. (-7.7 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sparks 76.6, Opponents 89.4. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 3-15 (17%) ATS with an average line of +2.5. (-13.5 unit$, ROI=-68.2%). The average score of these games was Sparks 77.3, Opponents 85.7. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 1-9 (10%) ATS with an average line of +2.5. (-8.9 unit$, ROI=-80.9%). The average score of these games was Sparks 75.3, Opponents 83.5. |
| Bet on Indiana on the money line when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average money line of -230. (+7.8 unit$, ROI=37.7%) The average score of these games was Fever 88.9, Opponents 74.7. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game. Los Angeles record since the 2024 season: 5-24 (17%) with an average money line of +202. (-21.3 unit$, ROI=-73.4%) The average score of these games was Sparks 79.3, Opponents 86.5. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 1-5 (17%) with an average money line of -134. (-10.7 unit$, ROI=-132.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 80.8, Opponents 87.2. |
| Bet against Los Angeles in away games on the money line in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 0-5 (0%) with an average money line of -318. (-15.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%) The average score of these games was Sparks 80.2, Opponents 87.2. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Los Angeles away games when they score 82 to 87 points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 162.8. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%) The average score of these games was Sparks 83.3, Opponents 89.1. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Indiana games when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average over/under of 166.7. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average score of these games was Fever 81.4, Opponents 74.6. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.