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Monday, 04/21/2025 10:00 PM (ET) 
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Denver leads series 1 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 LAC
 LA Clippers (5)
52350-33218.5-1-115-0.5
 DEN
 Denver (4)
52451-32-2218-105110

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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 LAC LA Clippers123-3-1LAC (+2)
 DEN Denver118 

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 LAC LA Clippers119LAC (+3)Ov (+17.1)60LAC (+0.5)Ov (+7.9)44-9049.6%14-3440.8%16-2079.6%491112
 DEN Denver116 58 44-8750.2%11-3235.4%17-2276.5%501114

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the spread 551 times, while Denver covered the spread 425 times.
Edge against the spread=LA Clippers.
In 1000 simulated games, 832 games went over the total, while 156 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers won the game straight up 575 times, while Denver won 405 times.
Edge on the money line=LA Clippers.
In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the first half line 543 times, while Denver covered the first half line 457 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 740 games went over the first half total, while 241 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Denver covered the 4 point teaser line 519 times, and failed to cover 454 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, LA Clippers covered the 4 point teaser line 634 times, and failed to cover 343 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 890 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 97 failed to go over.
Edge against the 4 point teaser total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, 207 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 780 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring LA Clippers.
Bet against Denver on the money line when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game.
Denver record during the 2025 season: 8-15 (35%) with an average money line of -208. (-30.9 unit$, ROI=-64.6%)
The average score of these games was Nuggets 117.7, Opponents 121.6.
Bet against Denver on the money line in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents.
Denver record during the 2025 season: 7-12 (37%) with an average money line of -302. (-27.1 unit$, ROI=-47.1%)
The average score of these games was Nuggets 117.8, Opponents 117.9.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the total in LA Clippers games when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game.
The Over's record since the 2024 season: 28-7 (80%) with an average over/under of 225.2. (+20.3 unit$, ROI=51.3%)
The average score of these games was Clippers 118.1, Opponents 117.3.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.