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Monday, 04/21/2025 7:30 PM (ET) 
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - New York leads series 1 games to 0.
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 DET
 Detroit (6)
52144-39221.5222+210112
 NYK
 New York (3)
52252-31-6.5-6.5-270-3.5

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 DET Detroit114 DET (+2.5)
 NYK New York116-4-6.5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 DET Detroit115DET (+8.5)Ov (+6.2)58DET (+4.5)Ov (+2.2)43-8848.8%12-3336.8%17-2276.0%531215
 NYK New York113 57 42-9046.6%12-3435.8%17-2279.2%511313

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the spread 702 times, while New York covered the spread 298 times.
Edge against the spread=Detroit.
In 1000 simulated games, 644 games went over the total, while 335 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit won the game straight up 521 times, while New York won 453 times.
Edge on the money line=Detroit.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the first half line 639 times, while New York covered the first half line 361 times.
Edge against the first half line=Detroit.
In 1000 simulated games, 557 games went over the first half total, while 408 games went under the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Over.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 395 times, and failed to cover 605 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the 4 point teaser line 780 times, and failed to cover 220 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 721 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 265 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 435 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 544 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Detroit.
Bet on Detroit on the money line in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers.
Detroit record during the 2025 season: 30-14 (68%) with an average money line of -107. (+27.3 unit$, ROI=57.8%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 116.5, Opponents 111.6.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit games in games where they attempt 84 to 92 shots.
The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 29-9 (76%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.5. (+19.1 unit$, ROI=43.4%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 59.6, Opponents 58.7.
Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game.
The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 24-7 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 114.0. (+16.3 unit$, ROI=46.3%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 58.0, Opponents 60.7.
Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit away or neutral games when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game.
The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 114.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%)
The average score of these games was Pistons 59.2, Opponents 61.2.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.