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| Sunday, 04/27/2025 1:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 - New York leads series 2 games to 1. | ||||||
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 NYK | 569 | 53-32 | 217 | 217 | +105 | 109.5 |
 DET | 570 | 45-40 | -1.5 | -2 | -125 | -1 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| NYK | 115 | |||
| DET | 115 | -2 | -2 | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| NYK | 109 | Ov (+7.8) | 55 | Ov (+3.3) | 40-89 | 45.3% | 12-33 | 35.2% | 17-21 | 79.4% | 49 | 12 | 13 | ||
| DET | 116 | DET (+5) | 58 | DET (+3) | 43-87 | 49.3% | 12-33 | 36.1% | 18-24 | 77.0% | 54 | 13 | 15 | ||
Simulation Line Covers |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the spread 601 times, while New York covered the spread 372 times. Edge against the spread=Detroit. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 665 games went over the total, while 307 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Detroit won the game straight up 655 times, while New York won 310 times. Edge on the money line=Detroit. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the first half line 560 times, while New York covered the first half line 412 times. Edge against the first half line=Detroit. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 605 games went over the first half total, while 395 games went under the first half total. Edge against the first half total=Over. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Detroit covered the 4 point teaser line 705 times, and failed to cover 272 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 464 times, and failed to cover 511 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 736 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 246 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 407 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 569 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Detroit. | |
|---|---|
| Bet against New York when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. New York record during the 2025 season: 0-10 (0%) ATS with an average line of -2.0. (-11.0 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Knicks 110.0, Opponents 120.8. |
| Bet on Detroit on the money line in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers. Detroit record during the 2025 season: 31-14 (69%) with an average money line of -105. (+29.4 unit$, ROI=62.4%) The average score of these games was Pistons 116.1, Opponents 111.3. |
| Bet against New York on the money line when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. New York record since the 2024 season: 4-19 (17%) with an average money line of -167. (-29.3 unit$, ROI=-76.5%) The average score of these games was Knicks 108.5, Opponents 118.1. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit games in games where they attempt 84 to 92 shots. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 30-9 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 113.5. (+20.1 unit$, ROI=44.6%) The average score of these games was Pistons 59.4, Opponents 58.8. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Detroit games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game. The 1st half Over's record during the 2025 season: 24-7 (77%) with an average 1st half over/under of 114.0. (+16.3 unit$, ROI=46.3%) The average score of these games was Pistons 58.0, Opponents 60.7. |
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.