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Monday, 04/21/2025 7:30 PM | |||||||
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NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Winnipeg leads series 1 games to 0. | |||||||
Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
![]() | 37 | 44-31-8, 96 pts. | BINNINGTON | +160 | 5.5o+20 | +160 | 5.5o+15 |
![]() | 38 | 57-22-4, 118 pts. | HELLEBUYCK | -185 | 5.5u-40 | -180 | 5.5u-35 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
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Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
![]() | 3.90 | BINNINGTON | +160 | 38.5% | +116 | 46.4% | STL (+7.9%) |
![]() | 4.24 | HELLEBUYCK | -180 | 64.3% | -116 | 53.6% |
Game Simulation Results |
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Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
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Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
![]() | BINNINGTON | 2.23 | +160 | 38.5% | -127 | 55.9% | STL (+17.4%) | 5.5o+15 | 4.2 | 25 | 3-1 | 4 | |
![]() | HELLEBUYCK | 1.93 | -180 | 64.3% | +127 | 44.1% | 5.5u-35 | 4.2 | UN (+1.3) | 27 | 3-0 | 4 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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Trends Favoring Saint Louis | |
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![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 33-6 (85%) with an average money line of -101. (+33.8 unit$, ROI=85.7%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet on Saint Louis on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Saint Louis record since the 2023 season: 39-10 (80%) with an average money line of +108. (+38.4 unit$, ROI=78.3%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.8, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet against Winnipeg on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 7-22 (24%) with an average money line of -160. (-23.8 unit$, ROI=-51.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.4, Opponents 3.0. |
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Trends Favoring Winnipeg | |
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![]() | Bet against Saint Louis on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Saint Louis record during the 2025 season: 5-28 (15%) with an average money line of +130. (-24.4 unit$, ROI=-73.9%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 43-3 (93%) with an average money line of -166. (+39.9 unit$, ROI=52.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Winnipeg record since the 2024 season: 39-7 (85%) with an average money line of -155. (+28.0 unit$, ROI=39.2%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 2.0. |
![]() | Bet on Winnipeg on the money line when they allow their opponents to get 22-26 shots on goal. Winnipeg record during the 2025 season: 22-4 (85%) with an average money line of -160. (+16.1 unit$, ROI=38.7%) The average score of these games was Jets 4.1, Opponents 1.7. |
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Trends Favoring Under | |
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![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 23-5 (82%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+17.8 unit$, ROI=48.8%) The average score of these games was Blues 1.5, Opponents 3.2. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Saint Louis games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-113. (+19.1 unit$, ROI=43.2%) The average score of these games was Blues 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-5 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-109. (+19.3 unit$, ROI=61.3%) The average score of these games was Jets 1.4, Opponents 3.0. |
![]() | Bet under the total in Winnipeg games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 32-11 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-110. (+20.2 unit$, ROI=40.1%) The average score of these games was Jets 3.7, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.