More NHL Games |
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| Tuesday, 04/29/2025 10:00 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied 2 games to 2. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 EDM | 27 | 50-31-5, 105 pts. | PICKARD | +100 | 6.5o+05 | +115 | 6.5o+05 |
 LAK | 28 | 50-28-8, 108 pts. | KUEMPER | -120 | 6.5u-25 | -135 | 6.5u-25 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| EDM | 3.59 | PICKARD | +115 | 46.5% | +130 | 43.6% | |
| LAK | 4.19 | KUEMPER | -135 | 57.4% | -130 | 56.4% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| EDM | PICKARD | 1.54 | +115 | 46.5% | +306 | 24.6% | 6.5o+05 | 4.6 | 30 | 4-1 | 3 | ||
| LAK | KUEMPER | 3.05 | -135 | 57.4% | -306 | 75.4% | LAK (+17.9%) | 6.5u-25 | 4.6 | UN (+1.9) | 31 | 4-1 | 6 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Los Angeles | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Edmonton on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 3-22 (12%) with an average money line of -168. (-35.8 unit$, ROI=-85.1%) The average score of these games was Oilers 1.3, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet against Edmonton on the money line when they score 2 goals. Edmonton record during the 2025 season: 2-11 (15%) with an average money line of -187. (-19.5 unit$, ROI=-80.2%) The average score of these games was Oilers 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 39-6 (87%) with an average money line of -159. (+30.8 unit$, ROI=43.0%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.4, Opponents 1.2. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 19-5 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-106. (+14.0 unit$, ROI=52.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 1.3, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet under the total in Edmonton games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 23-6 (79%) with an average over/under of 6.4, money line=-104. (+17.5 unit$, ROI=57.8%) The average score of these games was Oilers 2.0, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record since the 2024 season: 63-17 (79%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-113. (+44.0 unit$, ROI=46.2%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.5, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they score 3 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 11-2 (85%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-112. (+9.1 unit$, ROI=62.3%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.0, Opponents 1.4. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.