More NHL Games |
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| Tuesday, 04/29/2025 9:30 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied 2 games to 2. | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 MIN | 25 | 47-31-8, 102 pts. | GUSTAVSSON | +180 | 5.5o-25 | +180 | 5.5o-25 |
 LVG | 26 | 52-24-10, 114 pts. | HILL | -215 | 5.5u+05 | -215 | 5.5u+05 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| MIN | 3.15 | GUSTAVSSON | +180 | 35.7% | +127 | 44.0% | MIN (+8.3%) |
| LVG | 3.63 | HILL | -215 | 68.3% | -127 | 56.0% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| MIN | GUSTAVSSON | 1.65 | +180 | 35.7% | +156 | 39.0% | MIN (+3.3%) | 5.5o-25 | 3.8 | 26 | 3-1 | 3 | |
| LVG | HILL | 2.17 | -215 | 68.3% | -156 | 61.0% | 5.5u+05 | 3.8 | UN (+1.7) | 35 | 3-1 | 4 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Minnesota | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Minnesota on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 35-4 (90%) with an average money line of -129. (+36.9 unit$, ROI=73.4%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.2, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 3-21 (13%) with an average money line of -148. (-28.7 unit$, ROI=-80.6%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet against Vegas on the money line when they score 2 goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 2-12 (14%) with an average money line of -150. (-15.7 unit$, ROI=-74.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 2.0, Opponents 3.5. |
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| Trends Favoring Vegas | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Minnesota on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Minnesota record during the 2025 season: 5-32 (14%) with an average money line of +114. (-30.0 unit$, ROI=-80.9%) The average score of these games was Wild 1.2, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet against Minnesota in away or neutral games on the money line when they score 2 goals. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 1-13 (7%) with an average money line of +127. (-12.9 unit$, ROI=-92.1%) The average score of these games was Wild 2.0, Opponents 4.4. |
| Bet on Vegas on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Vegas record during the 2025 season: 38-4 (90%) with an average money line of -170. (+32.7 unit$, ROI=45.8%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Minnesota games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 30-6 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.8, money line=-110. (+24.1 unit$, ROI=56.0%) The average score of these games was Wild 3.2, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 33-8 (80%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-107. (+25.8 unit$, ROI=57.2%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 3.5, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Vegas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 18-5 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-110. (+12.7 unit$, ROI=47.9%) The average score of these games was Golden Knights 1.4, Opponents 3.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.