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| Saturday, 05/17/2025 3:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 CHI | 609 | 167.5 | 167.5 | +220 | 84.5 | |
 IND | 610 | -7 | -7 | -300 | -3.5 | |
Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings |
This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.
Power Rating Projections |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| CHI | 72 | |||
| IND | 80 | -10 | -7 | IND (+3) |
Game Simulation Results |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| CHI | 78 | 39 | 30-74 | 41.4% | 5-16 | 34.7% | 11-15 | 72.4% | 44 | 9 | 12 | ||||
| IND | 88 | IND (+3) | Un (+2) | 44 | IND (+0.5) | Un (+1.6) | 32-69 | 46.8% | 9-27 | 34.3% | 14-18 | 76.9% | 46 | 7 | 12 |
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| The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total. | |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the spread 581 times, while Chicago covered the spread 384 times. Edge against the spread=Indiana. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 564 games went under the total, while 436 games went over the total. Edge against the total=Under. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana won the game straight up 762 times, while Chicago won 215 times. Edge on the money line=Indiana. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the first half line 537 times, while Chicago covered the first half line 463 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 549 games went under the first half total, while 451 games went over the first half total. No Edge. |
 | In 1000 simulated games, Indiana covered the 4 point teaser line 689 times, and failed to cover 289 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, Chicago covered the 4 point teaser line 522 times, and failed to cover 452 times. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 534 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 466 failed to go over. No Edge. |
| In 1000 simulated games, 654 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 346 failed to go under. No Edge. |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
| Trends Favoring Indiana. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Indiana when they allow 76 to 81 points in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +0.1. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Fever 86.3, Opponents 79.4. |
| Bet on Indiana in home games when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game. Indiana record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) ATS with an average line of +3.4. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=90.9%). The average score of these games was Fever 87.1, Opponents 82.0. |
| Bet against Chicago when they allow 88 or more points in a game. Chicago record since the 2024 season: 0-9 (0%) ATS with an average line of +5.8. (-9.9 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sky 77.2, Opponents 91.8. |
| Bet against Chicago when they allow 88 to 92 points in a game. Chicago record since the 2024 season: 0-6 (0%) ATS with an average line of +5.4. (-6.6 unit$, ROI=-100.0%). The average score of these games was Sky 73.8, Opponents 89.7. |
| Trends Favoring Over. | |
|---|---|
| Bet over the total in Indiana road games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 7-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 166.6. (+7.0 unit$, ROI=79.5%) The average score of these games was Fever 89.0, Opponents 88.4. |
| Bet over the total in Indiana games when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average over/under of 171.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Fever 90.4, Opponents 91.8. |
| Bet over the total in Indiana games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The Over's record since the 2024 season: 15-2 (88%) with an average over/under of 170.9. (+12.8 unit$, ROI=68.4%) The average score of these games was Fever 94.2, Opponents 89.6. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana games when they grab 42 to 46 rebounds in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 84.5. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Fever 47.5, Opponents 42.6. |
| Bet over the 1st half total in Indiana road games when they score 88 or more points in a game. The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average 1st half over/under of 86.0. (+8.9 unit$, ROI=73.6%) The average score of these games was Fever 48.6, Opponents 43.9. |
Glossary of Terms
Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.
Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.
Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.
Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.
H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.
3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.
FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.
Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.
Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.
OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.
TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.