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Saturday, 05/17/2025 1:00 PM (ET) 
 Gm#RecordOpenLatestML1H
 LVA
 Las Vegas
607167167+17584.5
 NYL
 New York
608-5-5-210-2.5

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & InjuriesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

WNBA Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.

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 Power Rating
TeamsRatingEstimateActualEdge
 LVA Las Vegas87 
 NYL New York90-5-5

Game Simulation Results

This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
 Scores, EdgesShooting   3pt ShootingFree ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeH1ScoreEdge3FGM-APct.3FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
 LVA Las Vegas79LVA (+2) 40LVA (+1.5) 30-6944.0%9-2634.8%10-1280.8%40411
 NYL New York82Un (+5.2)41Un (+2.9)30-6942.8%9-2734.8%14-1682.7%47913

Simulation Line Covers

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The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the spread 564 times, while New York covered the spread 414 times.
Edge against the spread=Las Vegas.
In 1000 simulated games, 633 games went under the total, while 345 games went over the total.
Edge against the total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, New York won the game straight up 573 times, while Las Vegas won 391 times.
Edge on the money line=Las Vegas.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the first half line 542 times, while New York covered the first half line 458 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 608 games went under the first half total, while 392 games went over the first half total.
Edge against the first half total=Under.
In 1000 simulated games, New York covered the 4 point teaser line 539 times, and failed to cover 427 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, Las Vegas covered the 4 point teaser line 673 times, and failed to cover 307 times.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 448 games went over the 4 point teaser total, while 515 failed to go over.
No Edge.
In 1000 simulated games, 718 games went under the 4 point teaser total, while 260 failed to go under.
No Edge.

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

Trends Favoring Las Vegas.
Bet on Las Vegas on the money line when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game.
Las Vegas record since the 2024 season: 10-1 (91%) with an average money line of -426. (+8.8 unit$, ROI=18.8%)
The average score of these games was Aces 88.2, Opponents 77.2.
Trends Favoring Over.
Bet over the 1st half total in New York games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game.
The 1st half Over's record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 83.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=65.5%)
The average score of these games was Liberty 44.6, Opponents 42.6.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The names and logos of the basketball teams being compared in the simulation.

Rating: The power rating assigned to the team, indicating its overall strength based on various factors like performance, statistics, and other metrics.

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on the simulation.

Estimate: The estimated point spread or line based on the power rating comparison between the two teams.

Edge: Indicates a potential betting advantage if the estimated score or line differs significantly from the actual betting line.

H1Score: The average projected score for each team at the end of the first half.

3FGM-A: The average number of three-point field goals made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (3pt Shooting): The average shooting percentage for three-point field goals.

FTM-A: The average number of free throws made and attempted by the team.

Pct. (Free Throws): The average free throw shooting percentage.

Tot. (Rebounding): The average total number of rebounds (both offensive and defensive) secured by the team.

OFF (Rebounding): The average number of offensive rebounds secured by the team.

TO: The average number of turnovers committed by the team.