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| Thursday, 07/03/2025 8:00 PM (ET) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gm# | Record | Open | Latest | ML | 1H | |
 WAS | 609 | 8-9 | 159.5 | 155 | +500 | 78.5 |
 MIN | 610 | 14-3 | -14.5 | -11.5 | -750 | -6.5 |
| Matchup Content Menu |
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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒
Your one-stop tip sheet for all the key information you need: top systems, team and coaching trends, expert simulations with value-based ratings, plus key stats, injuries, and more. Click the matchup content menu links above to dig deeper!
| Team Stats Summary Comparison |
Explore comprehensive basketball team statistics for current game conditions, including against the spread, money line, scoring, field goal percentage, and rebounds.
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| Washington - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 10-6 | 7-10 | 8-9 | +1.5 | 79.2 | 37.5 | 42.9% | 45 | 80.1 | 41.2 | 41.9% | 41 |
| Road Games | 5-3 | 3-6 | 3-6 | -3.5 | 78.8 | 35.9 | 44.2% | 43 | 79.4 | 40.0 | 43.0% | 38 |
| vs. Western Conference | 3-3 | 2-5 | 3-4 | -0.3 | 76.0 | 36.7 | 39.4% | 45 | 76.1 | 38.1 | 38.7% | 43 |
| Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 | +1.9 | 83.0 | 40.2 | 42.9% | 41 | 81.2 | 43.6 | 44.2% | 42 |
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| Minnesota - Current Season Performance | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Against Spread | Money Line | Team | Opponent | |||||||||
| W-L | O-U | W-L | Units | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | Score | Half | FG Pct | Reb. | |
| All Games | 8-7 | 8-9 | 14-3 | +0.8 | 83.8 | 42.9 | 46.1% | 41 | 74.1 | 38.9 | 40.2% | 42 |
| Home Games | 5-4 | 3-6 | 8-1 | -0.5 | 83.4 | 40.4 | 47.2% | 42 | 70.7 | 34.1 | 39.5% | 39 |
| vs. Eastern Conference | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 | -8.5 | 79.4 | 40.2 | 42.1% | 42 | 73.4 | 37.8 | 39.8% | 44 |
| Last 5 Games | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | -7.5 | 80.6 | 40.0 | 44.7% | 42 | 72.6 | 35.8 | 39.1% | 42 |
| Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule |
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| Washington - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 05/30/2025 |  NYL | 63-85 | L | +8 | L | 164 | U | 21-74 | 28.4% | 46 | 10 | 29-68 | 42.6% | 50 | 11 |
| 06/03/2025 |  @IND | 76-85 | L | +5.5 | L | 161.5 | U | 30-55 | 54.5% | 41 | 15 | 30-59 | 50.8% | 30 | 8 |
| 06/05/2025 | NYL | 78-86 | L | +13 | W | 160 | O | 29-67 | 43.3% | 48 | 14 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 40 | 13 |
| 06/08/2025 |  CON | 104-67 | W | -7.5 | W | 156.5 | O | 36-63 | 57.1% | 54 | 15 | 26-66 | 39.4% | 25 | 17 |
| 06/15/2025 |  ATL | 56-89 | L | +4 | L | 158 | U | 18-61 | 29.5% | 46 | 13 | 31-70 | 44.3% | 46 | 6 |
| 06/17/2025 |  @CHI | 79-72 | W | -4.5 | W | 155.5 | U | 29-64 | 45.3% | 38 | 16 | 30-61 | 49.2% | 40 | 22 |
| 06/20/2025 | @ATL | 91-92 | L | +8.5 | W | 157 | O | 34-64 | 53.1% | 38 | 14 | 31-63 | 49.2% | 31 | 9 |
| 06/22/2025 |  DAL | 91-88 | W | -4.5 | L | 167 | O | 28-62 | 45.2% | 47 | 16 | 27-72 | 37.5% | 51 | 17 |
| 06/24/2025 | MIN | 68-64 | W | +7 | W | 157.5 | U | 27-73 | 37.0% | 45 | 14 | 22-58 | 37.9% | 48 | 19 |
| 06/26/2025 |  @LVA | 94-83 | W | +7 | W | 160 | O | 32-70 | 45.7% | 44 | 8 | 33-66 | 50.0% | 33 | 8 |
| 06/28/2025 | @DAL | 71-79 | L | -6 | L | 160.5 | U | 22-64 | 34.4% | 33 | 13 | 29-62 | 46.8% | 46 | 19 |
| 07/03/2025 | @MIN | 75-92 | L | +11.5 | L | 155 | O | 27-60 | 45.0% | 48 | 20 | 37-80 | 46.3% | 33 | 6 |
| 07/08/2025 | CHI | 11:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/10/2025 | LVA | 7:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/13/2025 |  @SEA | 6:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/15/2025 |  @LAS | 10:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
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| Minnesota - Recent Results and Upcoming Schedule | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Game Stats | Opponent Stats | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Score | SU | Line | ATS | Tot. | O/U | Shots | Pct | REB | TO | Shots | Pct | REB | TO |
| 05/30/2025 |  @PHO | 74-71 | W | -4 | L | 158 | U | 25-69 | 36.2% | 45 | 15 | 28-71 | 39.4% | 46 | 14 |
| 06/01/2025 |  @GS | 86-75 | W | -11 | P | 160 | O | 30-66 | 45.5% | 43 | 12 | 24-65 | 36.9% | 43 | 14 |
| 06/03/2025 | PHO | 88-65 | W | -12.5 | W | 159 | U | 34-58 | 58.6% | 44 | 23 | 28-73 | 38.4% | 27 | 10 |
| 06/08/2025 | @DAL | 81-65 | W | -13 | W | 166.5 | U | 29-67 | 43.3% | 41 | 6 | 19-65 | 29.2% | 51 | 15 |
| 06/11/2025 | @SEA | 84-94 | L | -3.5 | L | 155 | O | 31-64 | 48.4% | 28 | 12 | 39-69 | 56.5% | 42 | 10 |
| 06/14/2025 | LAS | 101-78 | W | -11 | W | 163 | O | 41-72 | 56.9% | 31 | 9 | 24-58 | 41.4% | 43 | 20 |
| 06/17/2025 | LVA | 76-62 | W | -13 | W | 161 | U | 29-76 | 38.2% | 51 | 8 | 23-64 | 35.9% | 43 | 17 |
| 06/21/2025 | LAS | 82-66 | W | -8 | W | 162.5 | U | 30-56 | 53.6% | 41 | 20 | 24-65 | 36.9% | 36 | 15 |
| 06/24/2025 | @WAS | 64-68 | L | -7 | L | 157.5 | U | 22-58 | 37.9% | 48 | 19 | 27-73 | 37.0% | 45 | 14 |
| 06/27/2025 | @ATL | 96-92 | W | -4 | P | 158 | O | 33-72 | 45.8% | 36 | 16 | 33-76 | 43.4% | 52 | 13 |
| 06/29/2025 | CON | 102-63 | W | -20 | W | 154.5 | O | 36-71 | 50.7% | 53 | 13 | 23-66 | 34.8% | 33 | 14 |
| 07/01/2025 | IND | 59-74 | L | -11 | L | 158 | U | 22-63 | 34.9% | 34 | 16 | 27-63 | 42.9% | 46 | 14 |
| 07/03/2025 | WAS | 92-75 | W | -11.5 | W | 155 | O | 37-80 | 46.3% | 33 | 6 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 48 | 20 |
| 07/05/2025 | GS | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/06/2025 | CHI | 7:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/09/2025 | @PHO | 3:30p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/10/2025 | @LAS | 3:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/12/2025 | @CHI | 1:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/14/2025 | @CHI | 8:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| 07/16/2025 | PHO | 1:00p | - | - | |||||||||||
| Top Team Trends |
| Trends Favoring Washington. | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Washington in away games after 1 or more consecutive unders. Washington record since the 2024 season: 13-3 (81%) ATS with an average line of +6.4. (+9.7 unit$, ROI=51.9%). The average score of these games was Mystics 78.1, Opponents 79.4. |
| Bet on Washington after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Washington record since the 2024 season: 14-3 (82%) ATS with an average line of +6.1. (+10.7 unit$, ROI=57.2%). The average score of these games was Mystics 81.9, Opponents 78.7. |
 | Bet on Washington in away games on the 1st half line versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game. Washington record on the 1st half line since the 2024 season: 8-1 (89%) with an average 1st half line of +6.0. (+6.9 unit$, ROI=69.7%) The average 1st half score of these games was Mystics 37.8, Opponents 38.1. |
| Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Minnesota after playing a home game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 25-9 (74%) ATS with an average line of -4.3. (+15.1 unit$, ROI=40.4%). The average score of these games was Lynx 83.5, Opponents 75.0. |
 | Bet on Minnesota on the money line after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 22-4 (85%) with an average money line of -332. (+16.5 unit$, ROI=19.1%) The average score of these games was Lynx 84.3, Opponents 74.9. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line after 1 or more consecutive unders. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 26-8 (76%) with an average money line of -263. (+16.4 unit$, ROI=18.4%) The average score of these games was Lynx 84.2, Opponents 77.7. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line revenging a loss where team scored less than 70 points. Minnesota record since the 2023 season: 12-4 (75%) with an average money line of +198. (+20.8 unit$, ROI=129.7%) The average score of these games was Lynx 85.2, Opponents 84.8. |
| Bet on Minnesota on the money line after playing a home game. Minnesota record since the 2024 season: 28-5 (85%) with an average money line of -281. (+19.4 unit$, ROI=20.9%) The average score of these games was Lynx 83.5, Opponents 75.0. |
| Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the 1st half total in Minnesota away games after a non-conference game. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 13-2 (87%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.0. (+10.8 unit$, ROI=61.4%) The average score of these games was Lynx 39.0, Opponents 34.8. |
| Bet under the 1st half total in Minnesota away games after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite. The 1st half Under's record since the 2024 season: 9-1 (90%) with an average 1st half over/under of 80.0. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=71.8%) The average score of these games was Lynx 39.4, Opponents 32.8. |
| Key Coaching Trends |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Minnesota. | |
|---|---|
| Bet on Cheryl Reeve off an upset loss as a favorite by 10 points or more. Reeve's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 9-1 (90%) with an average line of -8.1. (+7.9 unit$, ROI=65.3%) The average score of these games was MINNESOTA 85.4, Opponents 72.0 |
| Bet on Cheryl Reeve in home games on the money line revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7 or more. Reeve's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 9-1 (90%) with an average money line of -437. (+8.0 unit$, ROI=18.3%) The average score of these games was MINNESOTA 86.9, Opponents 74.5 |
| Bet on Cheryl Reeve on the money line revenging a loss where team scored less than 70 points. Reeve's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 43-22 (66%) with an average money line of -158. (+29.0 unit$, ROI=28.2%) The average score of these games was MINNESOTA 80.1, Opponents 77.1 |
| Bet on Cheryl Reeve in home games on the money line after playing a game as a home favorite. Reeve's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 73-18 (80%) with an average money line of -389. (+39.7 unit$, ROI=11.2%) The average score of these games was MINNESOTA 85.0, Opponents 76.2 |
| Key Coaching Trends Favoring Under. | |
|---|---|
| Bet under the total in Cheryl Reeve games off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. The Under's record as coach of MINNESOTA: 15-4 (79%) with an average over/under of 157.7. (+10.6 unit$, ROI=50.7%) The average score of these games was MINNESOTA 80.4, Opponents 73.8 |
| WNBA Game Simulation |
This table shows projected scores and stats from simulations, including shooting, free throws, and rebounding. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores, Edges | Shooting | 3pt Shooting | Free Throws | Rebounding | |||||||||||
| Teams | Score | Edge | H1Score | Edge | 3FGM-A | Pct. | 3FGM-A | Pct. | FTM-A | Pct. | Tot. | OFF | TO | ||
| WAS | 74 | WAS (+5.5) | Ov (+0.1) | 37 | WAS (+3.5) | 27-66 | 41.3% | 7-20 | 34.6% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 43 | 9 | 16 | |
| MIN | 81 | 40 | Un (+0.6) | 29-65 | 45.0% | 8-24 | 33.2% | 14-18 | 80.0% | 41 | 7 | 14 | |||
| WNBA Power Ratings |
Compare team strength with power ratings based on recent results versus expectations. Identify potential advantages where ratings differ from the actual line.
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| Power Rating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Rating | Estimate | Actual | Edge |
| WAS | 82 | WAS (+4.5) | ||
| MIN | 87 | -7 | -11.5 | |